How do I know which market we’re in?
How can you instantly tell which housing market you’re in — and act to win?
The simple test that tells you the market
If you want clarity fast, use three numbers: inventory, days on market (DOM), and price trend. These three indicators reveal whether you’re in a buyer’s market, seller’s market, or balanced market. No noise. No guesswork.
3 signals to check right now
- Inventory: Low inventory → seller’s market. High inventory → buyer’s market. “Low” means under 3 months of supply. “High” is over 6 months.
- Days on Market (DOM): Rapid sales (DOM under 20 days) show hot demand. Slow sales (DOM over 45 days) show weak demand.
- Price trend: Rising prices for 2+ months = seller advantage. Flat or falling prices = buyer advantage.
These are housing market indicators and the backbone of any market strategy.

How to read the numbers like a pro
- Calculate absorption rate: (Monthly sales ÷ Active listings). Under 15% = buyer market. Over 30% = seller market. 2. Track 3–6 month price trend, not week-to-week noise. 3. Compare local neighbourhoods — markets can vary street by street.
Use local MLS reports, municipal sales data, and simple spreadsheets. This is real estate market cycle analysis made practical.
Market strategy for each phase
- Seller’s market: Price aggressively. Stage for speed. Expect bidding. Limit contingencies. Aggressive marketing wins.
- Balanced market: Price fair. Show value. Be flexible on terms. Focus on neutral negotiation tactics.
- Buyer’s market: Negotiate price and terms. Ask for inspections and credits. Look for motivated sellers.
The right timing and market strategy align your move with the market phase. That reduces risk and maximizes return.
Action plan: 5 steps to know and act today
- Pull last 90 days of local sales and active listings. 2. Calculate inventory and absorption rate. 3. Check average DOM and 3-month price trend. 4. Map micro-markets (school zones, transit corridors). 5. Choose tactics: price for speed, value, or negotiation leverage.
This is tactical market identification. Use it whenever you list or buy.
Why this matters for your money
Mistaking the market phase costs thousands. Overpricing in a buyer’s market kills interest. Underselling in a seller’s market leaves money on the table. Timing affects offers, financing, and holding costs.
For trusted, tactical guidance tailored to Toronto-area neighbourhoods, contact Tony Sousa. He uses these exact metrics to build winning timing and market strategy for sellers and buyers. Email: tony@sousasells.ca | Call: 416-477-2620 | Website: https://www.sousasells.ca
Need a quick market read for your address? Tony will run the numbers and recommend the exact strategy in plain language. No fluff. Just results.



















