Should I wait for prices to rise before selling?
Don’t wait for prices to miraculously spike — here’s the blunt truth: timing the market rarely beats a clear plan.
Quick answer
Sell when your net proceeds and life plan align. Waiting for prices to rise is a gamble. Most sellers do better by optimizing price, marketing, and timing to their personal goals rather than guessing market peaks.
Why “wait for prices to rise” is risky
- Market moves are driven by interest rates, inventory, and local demand. You can’t control them.
- Holding a property costs money: mortgage interest, taxes, insurance, utilities, maintenance, and missed opportunity on other investments.
- Short-term spikes can reverse quickly. A 3–5% expected appreciation may be wiped out by holding costs in a year.
Data insight: historically, many markets average 2–6% annual price growth. But monthly volatility and interest-rate shifts can erase those gains in months.
Simple decision checklist (use this now)
- Calculate net proceeds today (expected sale price minus commissions, repairs, and closing costs).
- Add 12-month carrying costs (mortgage interest, taxes, insurance, utilities, maintenance).
- Estimate realistic appreciation (local 12-month trend, not wishful thinking).
- Compare: net gain if you wait = expected appreciation minus carrying costs and tax or capital gains impact.
- Factor personal triggers (job change, family needs, mortgage reset, buying plans).
If expected net gain is negative or small, sell now. If it’s meaningfully positive and you can absorb risk, waiting may make sense.
Market indicators to watch
- Months of inventory: under 3 months = seller’s market; over 6 = buyer’s market.
- New listings vs. demand: rising listings + falling showings = pressure on prices.
- Local mortgage rates and affordability: higher rates reduce buyer pool quickly.
- Comparable sale velocity: long listing times signal weakening prices.
Track these quarterly. Don’t bet on national headlines; local conditions determine your price.
Tactical tips to maximize sale if you choose now
- Price to capture urgency: the right list price brings more buyers and often higher net proceeds.
- Invest where ROI is clear: minor repairs, curb appeal, staging usually pay back.
- Market aggressively: professional photos, targeted ads to qualified buyers, and an agent who negotiates hard.
When waiting makes sense
- You have low carrying costs and a credible forecast of 6%+ net appreciation after expenses.
- You’re not pressured to move and can absorb market swings.
- You can refinance or rent to reduce carrying costs while waiting.
Final thought
Waiting for prices to rise is a strategy only if you run the numbers. Blindly waiting is a bet, not a plan. Use the checklist above, watch local indicators, and optimize your sale process.
For a clear, personalized calculation and proven market strategy, contact Tony Sousa — local market expert who turns timing into results.
Email: tony@sousasells.ca
Phone: 416-477-2620
Website: https://www.sousasells.ca
